Davis, CMT1 Chapter 5

Chapter 5: Potential Bear Market in 2014; Bearish Secular Residue and Then Buying Opportunity

• Preparing for a (Say, 20 Percent) Bear Market
• Sentiment and Valuation Indicators, If One Wanted to Be Bearish
• Other Sentiment Indicators
• Valuation Problems
• Trend Indicators to Plan for a Potential Pullback– Follow the Leaders
• More Leading Indicators of Market Peaks
• Four-Year Presidential Cycle Risks
• Macro Backdrop: Debt Bubble Update
• Watching Fed Policy to Prepare for a Major Pullback in 2014
• Watch Financial Conditions and Interest Rates
• What do Demographics Say?