Kirkpatrick and Dahlquist CMT1 Chapter 9

Chapter 9: Temporal Patterns and Cycles

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• Chapter Objectives
  • The long (50-60-year) Kondratieff wave cycle
  • The 34-year cycle
  • The decennial cycle
  • Four-year cycles, including the election year pattern
  • Seasonal tendencies in stock performance
  • The relationship between January stock market performance and the rest of the year
  • The relationship between events and stock market performance
• Periods Longer than Four Years
  • Kondratieff Waves, or K-Waves
  • Decennial Pattern
• Periods of Four Years or Less
  • Four-Year or Presidential Cycle
  • Election Year Pattern
  • Seasonal Patterns
• January Signals
  • January Barometer
  • January Effect
• Events
• Conclusion
• Review Questions

Proceed to Chapter 10: Flow of Funds (in Kirkpatrick and Dahlquist)

Chapter list for Kirkpatrick and Dahlquist